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Fergus Bolger
Fergus Bolger
Anglia Ruskin University, Cambridge, UK
Verified email at aru.ac.uk - Homepage
Title
Cited by
Cited by
Year
Delphi: a reevaluation of research and theory
G Rowe, G Wright, F Bolger
Technological forecasting and social change 39 (3), 235-251, 1991
10771991
Assessing the quality of expert judgment: Issues and analysis
F Bolger, G Wright
Decision support systems 11 (1), 1-24, 1994
2561994
Improving the Delphi process: Lessons from social psychological research
F Bolger, G Wright
Technological forecasting and social change 78 (9), 1500-1513, 2011
2512011
The calibration of subjective probability: Theories and models 1980–94.
AGR McClelland, F Bolger
John Wiley & Sons, 1994
2361994
The hard–easy effect in subjective probability calibration
L Suantak, F Bolger, WR Ferrell
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 67 (2), 201-221, 1996
1701996
Graphs versus tables: Effects of data presentation format on judgemental forecasting
N Harvey, F Bolger
International Journal of Forecasting 12 (1), 119-137, 1996
1461996
Expertise and decision support
F Bolger, G Wright
Springer Science & Business Media, 2007
1222007
Context-sensitive heuristics in statistical reasoning
F Bolger, N Harvey
The Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology Section A 46 (4), 779-811, 1993
1201993
An empirical test of the relative validity of expert and lay judgments of risk
G Wright, F Bolger, G Rowe
Risk Analysis: An International Journal 22 (6), 1107-1122, 2002
1012002
Does the Delphi process lead to increased accuracy in group-based judgmental forecasts or does it simply induce consensus amongst judgmental forecasters?
F Bolger, A Stranieri, G Wright, J Yearwood
Technological Forecasting and Social Change 78 (9), 1671-1680, 2011
962011
Reliability and validity in expert judgment
F Bolger, G Wright
Expertise and decision support, 47-76, 1992
931992
The aggregation of expert judgment: Do good things come to those who weight?
F Bolger, G Rowe
Risk Analysis 35 (1), 5-11, 2015
862015
The effects of feedback on judgmental interval predictions
F Bolger, D Önkal-Atay
international Journal of forecasting 20 (1), 29-39, 2004
792004
On the nature of expectations
N Harvey, F Bolger, A McClelland
British Journal of Psychology 85 (2), 203-229, 1994
791994
Coherence, calibration, and expertise in judgmental probability forecasting
G Wright, G Rowe, F Bolger, J Gammack
Organizational behavior and human decision processes 57 (1), 1-25, 1994
721994
Use of expert knowledge to anticipate the future: Issues, analysis and directions
F Bolger, G Wright
International Journal of Forecasting 33 (1), 230-243, 2017
522017
Market entry decisions: Effects of absolute and relative confidence
F Bolger, BD Pulford, AM Colman
Experimental Psychology 55 (2), 113-120, 2008
502008
Asymmetric dominance and phantom decoy effects in games
AM Colman, BD Pulford, F Bolger
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 104 (2), 193-206, 2007
332007
The selection of experts for (probabilistic) expert knowledge elicitation
F Bolger
Elicitation: The science and art of structuring judgement, 393-443, 2018
292018
Judging the probability that the next point in an observed time‐series will be below, or above, a given value
F Bolger, N Harvey
Journal of Forecasting 14 (7), 597-607, 1995
291995
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